In Ted Chiang’s story “What’s Expected of Us,” a machine is invented that predicts with 100% accuracy what people are about to do. When this happens, people become convinced that they don’t have free will, and as a result, a third of the population descends into akinetic mutism—a kind of “walking coma.” Maybe that would happen if we discovered that we don’t have free will. But I’ll argue in this chapter that if it did happen, it would involve a wild over-valuing of free will. Descending into akinetic mutism because you discovered that you didn’t have free will would be like descending into akinetic mutism because you lost $100. Or so I’ll argue.

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Why the Market Value of Free Will is $99.99

  • Mark Balaguer

摘要

In Ted Chiang’s story “What’s Expected of Us,” a machine is invented that predicts with 100% accuracy what people are about to do. When this happens, people become convinced that they don’t have free will, and as a result, a third of the population descends into akinetic mutism—a kind of “walking coma.” Maybe that would happen if we discovered that we don’t have free will. But I’ll argue in this chapter that if it did happen, it would involve a wild over-valuing of free will. Descending into akinetic mutism because you discovered that you didn’t have free will would be like descending into akinetic mutism because you lost $100. Or so I’ll argue.