Advancing Solar Forecasting Accuracy: Deep Learning Insights for Sustainable Energy Optimization
摘要
This study explores the effectiveness of deep learning models, particularly Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) networks, in enhancing short-term solar irradiance forecasting. Accurate predictions of solar energy are crucial for efficient solar energy management, especially given the variability introduced by weather conditions. We investigate the ability of BiLSTM to detect complex patterns in historical solar data to improve forecasting accuracy. Our research includes rigorous preprocessing techniques and model selection to achieve optimal performance. Comparative analysis reveals that BiLSTM consistently outperforms traditional forecasting methods. For example, in summer, BiLSTM achieved a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0008, showing a 99.7% improvement over Linear Regression’s MSE of 0.244. In winter, BiLSTM demonstrated a 99.8% reduction in MSE compared to Linear Regression. The BiLSTM model’s R2 scores of 0.990 and 0.991 in summer and winter, respectively, significantly exceed those of traditional methods. This study underscores the potential of BiLSTM and deep learning in addressing key challenges in renewable energy forecasting, contributing to more effective energy planning and grid integration.