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About 20 strong earthquakes of magnitude 7 or greater occur each year. Exactly when they will happen cannot be determined in advance. Geological surveys can help determine the probability of an earthquake of a given magnitude. Thus, once the characteristics of the buildings in the area and the number of their inhabitants are known, mathematical models can be made for the possible damage. This can help to estimate in advance the number and type of casualties. In this paper we propose estimation of the dead and injured inhabitants, based on a model of the consequences of a possible earthquake of a given magnitude. The victims are divided into several types depending on the type of injuries.

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Injured and Died in an Earthquake

  • 会议论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Stefka Fidanova,
  • Leoneed Kirilov,
  • Marcin Paprzycki,
  • Veselin Ivanov

摘要

About 20 strong earthquakes of magnitude 7 or greater occur each year. Exactly when they will happen cannot be determined in advance. Geological surveys can help determine the probability of an earthquake of a given magnitude. Thus, once the characteristics of the buildings in the area and the number of their inhabitants are known, mathematical models can be made for the possible damage. This can help to estimate in advance the number and type of casualties. In this paper we propose estimation of the dead and injured inhabitants, based on a model of the consequences of a possible earthquake of a given magnitude. The victims are divided into several types depending on the type of injuries.