A Narrative Review of the Debate on the So-Called International Crime Drop
摘要
This chapter provides a comprehensive review of the scholarly discourse surrounding the concept of an "international crime drop" during the 1990s and 2000s, examining four distinct interpretative narratives that have shaped our understanding of global crime trends. Through a chronological analysis of key publications, conferences, and research initiatives, the chapter traces how the concept evolved from observations of declining crime rates in the United States to broader international applications. The author identifies and analyzes four major narratives: the All-American narrative, focusing on U.S. crime trends and explanations; the Lausanne School narrative, emphasizing European variations and the role of technological change; the Crime and Justice narrative, offering a more skeptical view of violent crime trends; and the Security Hypothesis narrative, attributing declines primarily to improved security measures. The review reveals significant methodological and theoretical tensions between these perspectives, particularly regarding the interpretation of violent crime trends in continental Europe and the role of cybercrime. While there is broad agreement on declining rates of property crimes and homicides in many Western countries since the 1990s, the chapter shows that the notion of a universal "international crime drop" oversimplifies complex regional variations and emerging crime patterns. The author argues that understanding contemporary crime trends requires considering the transformation to a hybrid society, where traditional offline crimes coexist with rising online and hybrid offenses. The chapter concludes by highlighting the need for more nuanced, context-sensitive approaches to analyzing crime trends that account for technological change, regional variations, and the growing importance of cybercrime in contemporary societies.