BuildingClimate pathways onTipping cascades and transition to sustainable peace conceptionsTipping cascades of human-nature relationshipsHuman-nature relations and the discourse on theLimits to growth limits to growthGrowth since Malthus and Marx, this chapter investigates the impacts of the “great acceleration” in humanHuman development developmentDevelopment on planetary boundariesPlanetary boundaries and the polycrisisPolycrisis in the AnthropoceneAnthropocene. AnIntegrative geography Integrative GeographyGeography perspective connects geographical concepts of landscapeLandscape and interspaceInterspace with multiple limits and pathwaysPathway in the complex interaction between global expansionExpansion, multipleMultiple crises crisesCrises andGeopolitical conflicts geopolitical conflictsConflict challenging the existing world orderWorld order, leading to interconnected instabilities, compounding risks and tippingCompounding risks and tipping cascades cascadesCascade. Major areas of riskRisk and conflict are highlighted, including environmental and resourceResources conflicts, the climate-migration-conflict nexusClimate-migration-conflict nexus, disastersDisaster and extremeExtreme events, the Corona crisisCorona crisis, the Russia-Ukraine warRussia-Ukraine war, impacts of violent conflict on biodiversityBiodiversity and ecocides. Future trends challenging the world order include the transformationTransformation of fossilFossil capitalismCapitalism, powerPower shifts in the North-South relationship, the influenceInfluence of social networksSocial network and civil societyCivil society on democracy. To address the multiple challenges, humanity can enforce a transformationTransformation to sustainable peaceSustainable peace, merging solution concepts and synergies to stabilize expansive human developmentHuman development within the available environmental spaceSpace in the common house of planet earth. To balance human needsHuman need and available natural resourcesResource governance, an efficientEfficient, sufficient and fair use and distribution is required. A key question is whether a transitionTransition can be achieved mainly by technical innovations within the existing capitalist economy or requires societal innovations and a fundamental system change of fossilFossil capitalismCapitalism towards a new socio-economic and political world orderWorld order. Possible futures are shaped by critical thresholds between pathwaysPathway of disruption and construction, conflict and cooperation, war logicLogic and peacePeace logic, riskRisk and resilienceResilience, exclusion and coexistenceCoexistence, identityIdentity and diversity, tradeoffs and synergies. AdaptiveAdaptive and anticipative governanceAdaptive and anticipative governance integrates social-ecological transformationSocial-ecological transformation and conflictConflict transformation, sustainable and environmental peacebuilding, climateClimate mitigationMitigation and adaptationAdaptation, conflict-sensitive and resilient climate policies, climate justiceClimate Justice and climate matching in North-South climate cooperationCooperation and the global energyEnergy transition.

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Planetary Boundaries, Polycrisis and Politics in the Anthropocene: Climate Pathways, Tipping Cascades and Transition to Sustainable Peace in Integrative Geography

  • Jürgen Scheffran

摘要

BuildingClimate pathways onTipping cascades and transition to sustainable peace conceptionsTipping cascades of human-nature relationshipsHuman-nature relations and the discourse on theLimits to growth limits to growthGrowth since Malthus and Marx, this chapter investigates the impacts of the “great acceleration” in humanHuman development developmentDevelopment on planetary boundariesPlanetary boundaries and the polycrisisPolycrisis in the AnthropoceneAnthropocene. AnIntegrative geography Integrative GeographyGeography perspective connects geographical concepts of landscapeLandscape and interspaceInterspace with multiple limits and pathwaysPathway in the complex interaction between global expansionExpansion, multipleMultiple crises crisesCrises andGeopolitical conflicts geopolitical conflictsConflict challenging the existing world orderWorld order, leading to interconnected instabilities, compounding risks and tippingCompounding risks and tipping cascades cascadesCascade. Major areas of riskRisk and conflict are highlighted, including environmental and resourceResources conflicts, the climate-migration-conflict nexusClimate-migration-conflict nexus, disastersDisaster and extremeExtreme events, the Corona crisisCorona crisis, the Russia-Ukraine warRussia-Ukraine war, impacts of violent conflict on biodiversityBiodiversity and ecocides. Future trends challenging the world order include the transformationTransformation of fossilFossil capitalismCapitalism, powerPower shifts in the North-South relationship, the influenceInfluence of social networksSocial network and civil societyCivil society on democracy. To address the multiple challenges, humanity can enforce a transformationTransformation to sustainable peaceSustainable peace, merging solution concepts and synergies to stabilize expansive human developmentHuman development within the available environmental spaceSpace in the common house of planet earth. To balance human needsHuman need and available natural resourcesResource governance, an efficientEfficient, sufficient and fair use and distribution is required. A key question is whether a transitionTransition can be achieved mainly by technical innovations within the existing capitalist economy or requires societal innovations and a fundamental system change of fossilFossil capitalismCapitalism towards a new socio-economic and political world orderWorld order. Possible futures are shaped by critical thresholds between pathwaysPathway of disruption and construction, conflict and cooperation, war logicLogic and peacePeace logic, riskRisk and resilienceResilience, exclusion and coexistenceCoexistence, identityIdentity and diversity, tradeoffs and synergies. AdaptiveAdaptive and anticipative governanceAdaptive and anticipative governance integrates social-ecological transformationSocial-ecological transformation and conflictConflict transformation, sustainable and environmental peacebuilding, climateClimate mitigationMitigation and adaptationAdaptation, conflict-sensitive and resilient climate policies, climate justiceClimate Justice and climate matching in North-South climate cooperationCooperation and the global energyEnergy transition.