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This chapter reports findings from a study using a consensus method with an expert and stakeholder panel (n = 78) to analyse the societal implications of Cooperative, Connected and Automated Vehicles (CCAV) in public transport. To address the uncertainty about the wider societal impacts of CCAV, this study combines the results of a modified Delphi study, insights from interviews conducted at pilot sites deploying CCAV in real-word environment, and expert interviews from various CCAM-focused European initiatives. The modified Delphi study assesses direct consequences of CCAV such as accessibility and equity of public transport, user-perceived safety, and the impact on job creation/destruction and re-skilling as well as indirect effects of CCAV such as variation in house prices. These impacts are assessed within four scenarios related to different services and business models being deployed and tested across Europe in the Horizon 2020 SHOW project (GA No 875530).

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Societal Impacts of Automated Mobility for Public Transport: Insights from a Modified Delphi Study and Expert Interviews

  • 章节

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Víctor Ferran,
  • Ignacio Magallón,
  • Paola Rodríguez

摘要

This chapter reports findings from a study using a consensus method with an expert and stakeholder panel (n = 78) to analyse the societal implications of Cooperative, Connected and Automated Vehicles (CCAV) in public transport. To address the uncertainty about the wider societal impacts of CCAV, this study combines the results of a modified Delphi study, insights from interviews conducted at pilot sites deploying CCAV in real-word environment, and expert interviews from various CCAM-focused European initiatives. The modified Delphi study assesses direct consequences of CCAV such as accessibility and equity of public transport, user-perceived safety, and the impact on job creation/destruction and re-skilling as well as indirect effects of CCAV such as variation in house prices. These impacts are assessed within four scenarios related to different services and business models being deployed and tested across Europe in the Horizon 2020 SHOW project (GA No 875530).