This chapter is divided into three major sections: surveillance (Sect. 1), modeling (Sect. 2), and risk analyses (Sect. 3). Section 1 is designed to provide practical guidance on how to set up, collect, analyze, and interpret basic data that can be collected during pathogen surveillance in field or captive settings. We also discuss the economics of surveillance. Section 2 introduces typical models used to model pathogen transmission and methods used to estimate invasion potential, R0. Section 3 focuses on strategies that can be used to estimate the risk of ranavirus invading into a novel area. While detail is provided in these sections, our intent is not to discuss all surveillance, modeling, or risk analysis scenarios. If readers need additional guidance, we welcome you to reach out to the chapter authors or authors of the papers and books we cite.

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Design and Analysis of Ranavirus Studies: Insights into Planning Surveillance, Modeling Host-Pathogen Dynamics, and Performing Risk Analyses

  • Matthew J. Gray,
  • Jesse L. Brunner,
  • Julia E. Earl,
  • Wytamma Wirth,
  • Angela Peace,
  • Ellen Ariel

摘要

This chapter is divided into three major sections: surveillance (Sect. 1), modeling (Sect. 2), and risk analyses (Sect. 3). Section 1 is designed to provide practical guidance on how to set up, collect, analyze, and interpret basic data that can be collected during pathogen surveillance in field or captive settings. We also discuss the economics of surveillance. Section 2 introduces typical models used to model pathogen transmission and methods used to estimate invasion potential, R0. Section 3 focuses on strategies that can be used to estimate the risk of ranavirus invading into a novel area. While detail is provided in these sections, our intent is not to discuss all surveillance, modeling, or risk analysis scenarios. If readers need additional guidance, we welcome you to reach out to the chapter authors or authors of the papers and books we cite.