Abstract <p>A technology for operational complex forecasting (postprocessing)<sup>1</sup> of squall wind gusts at the points of weather station location is described. The technology was implemented at the Hydrometeorological Research Center of Russia. It uses the results of forecasts of several forecast models and the complex forecast of average wind. The tests have shown an increase in forecast accuracy as compared to original models.</p>

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Complex (Multi-model) Forecasting of Surface Wind Gusts with Lead Times up to Six Days for the Territory of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Central Asia’s States

  • A. N. Bagrov,
  • V. A. Gordin,
  • N. A. Svetlova,
  • E. N. Shakot’ko

摘要

Abstract

A technology for operational complex forecasting (postprocessing)1 of squall wind gusts at the points of weather station location is described. The technology was implemented at the Hydrometeorological Research Center of Russia. It uses the results of forecasts of several forecast models and the complex forecast of average wind. The tests have shown an increase in forecast accuracy as compared to original models.