Abstract <p>Based on geohydrological modeling of the groundwater recharge and resources, their current and predicted climate changes are analyzed using the example of the Vaimuga River basin, Arkhangelsk oblast. It is found that landscape differences in climatic variability of groundwater recharge are significant even over the area of small river basins, and the scale and direction of its predicted changes based on global climate models differ significantly. At the same time, predicted climate changes do not have a significant impact on the formation of balance of groundwater exploitation but manifest themselves in the degree of its impact on river flow.</p>

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Model Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Groundwater Recharge and Resources at the Scale of a Small River Basin

  • S. O. Grinevskiy,
  • A. E. Preobrazhenskaya,
  • V. V. Khaleskiy

摘要

Abstract

Based on geohydrological modeling of the groundwater recharge and resources, their current and predicted climate changes are analyzed using the example of the Vaimuga River basin, Arkhangelsk oblast. It is found that landscape differences in climatic variability of groundwater recharge are significant even over the area of small river basins, and the scale and direction of its predicted changes based on global climate models differ significantly. At the same time, predicted climate changes do not have a significant impact on the formation of balance of groundwater exploitation but manifest themselves in the degree of its impact on river flow.