Background <p>The MONARCH 3 trial has demonstrated that Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib is safe and effective for the treatment of postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. However, its cost-effectiveness for long-term use has not been investigated yet. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib versus Anastrozole used alone for patients in China.</p> Methods <p>Based on MONARCH 3 trial data, we constructed a Markov model using Treeage Pro 2022 software. The model cycle was set at 1 month over a period of 20- year time horizon, and the annual discount rate was set at 5%. The cost-utility analysis was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib for the treatment of postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. The output indexes of the model were cost and quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and the model evaluation index was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The willingness to pay (WTP) threshold was set at 3 times the per-capita gross domestic product (GDP) of China in 2023 (¥268,074/QALY). Meanwhile, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were used to explore the uncertainties of the model and parameters.</p> Results <p>Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib provided more health benefits than Anastrozole used alone, however, the total cost was higher. The incremental utility and incremental cost were 0.01 QALYs and ¥1075.51, respectively. And the ICER of the two regimens was ¥93,940.83/QALY, which was less than 3 times the per-capita GDP of China in 2023 (¥268,074). The results of the sensitivity analysis attested that the study results were robust.</p> Conclusions <p>Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib is more cost-effective than Anastrozole used alone for the treatment of postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer.</p>

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Cost-effectiveness analysis of Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib for the treatment of postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer

  • Xiaofeng Lin,
  • Yipeng Lan,
  • Jing Wang,
  • Wei Zhao,
  • Xiaoxi Liu,
  • Zhe Huang

摘要

Background

The MONARCH 3 trial has demonstrated that Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib is safe and effective for the treatment of postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. However, its cost-effectiveness for long-term use has not been investigated yet. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib versus Anastrozole used alone for patients in China.

Methods

Based on MONARCH 3 trial data, we constructed a Markov model using Treeage Pro 2022 software. The model cycle was set at 1 month over a period of 20- year time horizon, and the annual discount rate was set at 5%. The cost-utility analysis was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib for the treatment of postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. The output indexes of the model were cost and quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and the model evaluation index was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The willingness to pay (WTP) threshold was set at 3 times the per-capita gross domestic product (GDP) of China in 2023 (¥268,074/QALY). Meanwhile, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were used to explore the uncertainties of the model and parameters.

Results

Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib provided more health benefits than Anastrozole used alone, however, the total cost was higher. The incremental utility and incremental cost were 0.01 QALYs and ¥1075.51, respectively. And the ICER of the two regimens was ¥93,940.83/QALY, which was less than 3 times the per-capita GDP of China in 2023 (¥268,074). The results of the sensitivity analysis attested that the study results were robust.

Conclusions

Anastrozole combined with Abemaciclib is more cost-effective than Anastrozole used alone for the treatment of postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer.