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Objective <p>To reveal the changing pattern of anthropometry of middle-aged adults aged 40–59 in China from 2000–2020, and to predict the development trend in the next decade, to provide a reference basis for curbing the prevalence of overweight and obesity in them.</p> Methods <p>A grey GM(1,1) prediction model was established for the cross-sectional data on anthropometric measures of 422,851 adults obtained from five series of national physical fitness surveillance in China.</p> Results <p>1) From 2000 to 2020, all anthropometric indicators of middle-aged people aged 40–59 years in China maintained growth, with waist circumference increasing at the highest rate, weight at the second highest rate, and height at the slowest rate; 2) Overweight and obesity rates are increasing rapidly, with an average annual increase of 0.37 percentage points and 0.30 percentage points, with a greater increase for men than for women.</p> Conclusion <p>Without stronger interventions, overweight and obesity rates among middle-aged adults are likely to continue to increase in the future, and coordinated efforts are needed to slow down the obesity epidemic and improve the physical health of middle-aged adults.</p>

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A study of trends in body morphology, overweight, and obesity in Chinese adults aged 40–59 years

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年3月3日

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  • Qi Pan,
  • Weifeng Zhang,
  • Xiaolong Chen,
  • Yuyu Li,
  • Chunjing Tu

摘要

Objective

To reveal the changing pattern of anthropometry of middle-aged adults aged 40–59 in China from 2000–2020, and to predict the development trend in the next decade, to provide a reference basis for curbing the prevalence of overweight and obesity in them.

Methods

A grey GM(1,1) prediction model was established for the cross-sectional data on anthropometric measures of 422,851 adults obtained from five series of national physical fitness surveillance in China.

Results

1) From 2000 to 2020, all anthropometric indicators of middle-aged people aged 40–59 years in China maintained growth, with waist circumference increasing at the highest rate, weight at the second highest rate, and height at the slowest rate; 2) Overweight and obesity rates are increasing rapidly, with an average annual increase of 0.37 percentage points and 0.30 percentage points, with a greater increase for men than for women.

Conclusion

Without stronger interventions, overweight and obesity rates among middle-aged adults are likely to continue to increase in the future, and coordinated efforts are needed to slow down the obesity epidemic and improve the physical health of middle-aged adults.