Background <p>The relationship between the anion gap (AG) level, represented by the time-weighted average AG (TWA-AG), and outcomes of septic shock patients remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between TWA-AG and all-cause mortality in septic shock patients.</p> Methods <p>This study included septic shock patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Participants were categorized into four quartiles based on their TWA-AG values. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, and the secondary outcomes were in-hospital and 1-year mortality. Cox regression models, logistic regression models, and restricted cubic spline analyses were conducted to evaluate the relationship between TWA-AG and mortality.</p> Results <p>After adjustment for all potential confounders, the association of TWA-AG, as a continuous variable, with 30-day mortality remained significant, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.06 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04–1.07, <i>P</i> &lt; 0.001). Compared to the first quartile group, the HR with 95% CI for the second, third, and fourth quartile groups were 1.25 (1.06–1.48), 1.44 (1.22–1.69), and 1.89 (1.58–2.27), respectively. A similar relationship was also found for in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality. A linear relationship was observed between the TWA-AG and mortality. When TWA-AG was integrated into the conventional disease severity scoring systems, the predictive ability of these systems was significantly enhanced.</p> Conclusions <p>Elevated TWA-AG is independently associated with increased all-cause mortality in septic shock patients. TWA-AG may be a promising prognostic marker for septic shock patients.</p>

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Relationship between time-weighted average anion gap and mortality in septic shock patients: a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

  • Longsheng Zhang,
  • Huankai Zhang,
  • Zhiliang Huang,
  • Shujun Ye,
  • Xiaoman Sun,
  • Renzhe Lin,
  • Sen Li,
  • Jinxin Lan,
  • Duo Yang

摘要

Background

The relationship between the anion gap (AG) level, represented by the time-weighted average AG (TWA-AG), and outcomes of septic shock patients remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between TWA-AG and all-cause mortality in septic shock patients.

Methods

This study included septic shock patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Participants were categorized into four quartiles based on their TWA-AG values. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, and the secondary outcomes were in-hospital and 1-year mortality. Cox regression models, logistic regression models, and restricted cubic spline analyses were conducted to evaluate the relationship between TWA-AG and mortality.

Results

After adjustment for all potential confounders, the association of TWA-AG, as a continuous variable, with 30-day mortality remained significant, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.06 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04–1.07, P < 0.001). Compared to the first quartile group, the HR with 95% CI for the second, third, and fourth quartile groups were 1.25 (1.06–1.48), 1.44 (1.22–1.69), and 1.89 (1.58–2.27), respectively. A similar relationship was also found for in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality. A linear relationship was observed between the TWA-AG and mortality. When TWA-AG was integrated into the conventional disease severity scoring systems, the predictive ability of these systems was significantly enhanced.

Conclusions

Elevated TWA-AG is independently associated with increased all-cause mortality in septic shock patients. TWA-AG may be a promising prognostic marker for septic shock patients.