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Abstract <p>The article is a continuation of a series of publications by the authors on the topic of forecasting personnel needs taking into account the age and gender structure and the number of employees. The authors propose a new method for calculating forecast indicators of total and replacement personnel needs, based on the use of employment level profiles by one-year age categories. Employment level profiles are formed using indicators of the number of employed people by one-year age categories and gender factor, obtained from the results of processing and analysis of microdata from a sample survey of the labor force. The authors developed an algorithm for implementing a new method for calculating forecast indicators of general and replacement personnel needs; the proposed algorithm was tested using the example of the Republic of Karelia.</p>

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A New Method for Forecasting the Staffing Needs of the Economy, Taking into Account Age and Gender Characteristics of Employment

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年2月9日

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  • V. A. Gurtov,
  • E. A. Pitukhin,
  • I. S. Stepus’,
  • I. V. Rodion

摘要

Abstract

The article is a continuation of a series of publications by the authors on the topic of forecasting personnel needs taking into account the age and gender structure and the number of employees. The authors propose a new method for calculating forecast indicators of total and replacement personnel needs, based on the use of employment level profiles by one-year age categories. Employment level profiles are formed using indicators of the number of employed people by one-year age categories and gender factor, obtained from the results of processing and analysis of microdata from a sample survey of the labor force. The authors developed an algorithm for implementing a new method for calculating forecast indicators of general and replacement personnel needs; the proposed algorithm was tested using the example of the Republic of Karelia.