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Abstract <p>This article considers the distinct features of development of oil and gas companies at carbon-neutral transition. A comparative analysis of price risk assessment methods is made. A Monte-Carlo simulation model is proposed on the basis of a modified scenario approach with embedded tools of risk management. The model is tried and tested by the example of PAO Lukoil. The forecast shows that the adoption of the transborder carbon tax significantly aggravates the financial standing of the oil and gas company in the midterm and decreases the return on equity and assets as well as increases the price risk.</p>

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Price Risks for Oil and Gas Companies under Carbon Neutrality

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年2月21日

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  • N. I. Plyaskina

摘要

Abstract

This article considers the distinct features of development of oil and gas companies at carbon-neutral transition. A comparative analysis of price risk assessment methods is made. A Monte-Carlo simulation model is proposed on the basis of a modified scenario approach with embedded tools of risk management. The model is tried and tested by the example of PAO Lukoil. The forecast shows that the adoption of the transborder carbon tax significantly aggravates the financial standing of the oil and gas company in the midterm and decreases the return on equity and assets as well as increases the price risk.