Abstract <p>The article analyzes the economic growth model of the Republic of Belarus that has emerged on the eve of 2022. The contributions of labor and capital are determined taking into account their different impacts at the level of individual sectors of the economy and manufacturing industry. The leading role of structural changes, the relationship with focus on final sales markets and key foreign trade areas, differences in the efficiency of production chains and product sales, investment features in different industries, and the results of increasing real labor productivity are shown. Taking into account the new realities that have had a strong impact on the sources of this growth model, questions are being raised about the future strategy of the Republic of Belarus, based on interaction with the main foreign trade partner, which today is the Russian Federation, in the context of developing a joint forecast for the socio-economic development of the Union State of Russia and Belarus.</p>