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<p>The impact of climate change on the supply chain industry has emerged as a critical challenge for urban development. Existing literature primarily focuses on policies and measures for restoring the industrial economy, but overlooks the impact of climate change adaptation policy (CCAP) on the urban industrial chain resilience (ICR). Using panel data from 278 prefecture-level cities in China from 2000 to 2022, this study analyzes whether CCAP enhances the spatial heterogeneity of ICR. Additionally, the study develops an analytical framework to examine the mechanisms through which CCAP influences ICR, considering the levels of science and technology and GDP per capita. The results indicate that: (1) CCAP positively influences ICR improvement. (2) The effect of CCAP on ICR enhancement is mediated by rural revitalization and the digital economy, while excluding the impacts of Broadband China and Smart City policies. (3) CCAP directly enhances urban ICR and exerts a positive spatial spillover effect on the ICR of neighboring cities. This study offers insights into the sustainable development of urban industrial chains and the effectiveness of environmental policies in climate adaptation.</p>

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Spatial-temporal evolution analysis of the impact of climate change adaptation policy on industry chain resilience

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2026年1月24日

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  • Weirong Fang,
  • Huifang Liu,
  • Chenggang Zhang

摘要

The impact of climate change on the supply chain industry has emerged as a critical challenge for urban development. Existing literature primarily focuses on policies and measures for restoring the industrial economy, but overlooks the impact of climate change adaptation policy (CCAP) on the urban industrial chain resilience (ICR). Using panel data from 278 prefecture-level cities in China from 2000 to 2022, this study analyzes whether CCAP enhances the spatial heterogeneity of ICR. Additionally, the study develops an analytical framework to examine the mechanisms through which CCAP influences ICR, considering the levels of science and technology and GDP per capita. The results indicate that: (1) CCAP positively influences ICR improvement. (2) The effect of CCAP on ICR enhancement is mediated by rural revitalization and the digital economy, while excluding the impacts of Broadband China and Smart City policies. (3) CCAP directly enhances urban ICR and exerts a positive spatial spillover effect on the ICR of neighboring cities. This study offers insights into the sustainable development of urban industrial chains and the effectiveness of environmental policies in climate adaptation.