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<p>Burglary remains a serious problem in South Africa. This study examined the influence of socio-demographic characteristics, individual behaviours and environmental security measures on victim-precipitated burglary risk in Florida Park, Johannesburg. A cross-sectional survey of 1,156 households (1,142 completed, 98.8% response rate) was conducted using systematic sampling. Chi-square and binomial logistic regression analyses were performed. Risky behaviours (leaving access points unlocked, sharing keys/codes and visible valuables) significantly increased the odds of victim-precipitated burglary, while alarm systems, CCTV and security dogs reduced the odds. Socio-demographic factors (employment, income and marital status) moderated some relationships. While findings support routine activity theory, situational crime prevention and lifestyle-exposure theory, they highlight the need for cautious application of victim-precipitation concepts to avoid victim-blaming. The study underscores the value of multifaceted, context-sensitive prevention strategies.</p>

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Factors influencing victim-precipitated burglary in Florida Park, Johannesburg, South Africa

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2026年7月6日

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  • Sadiq Amali,
  • Muzukhona Buthelezi,
  • Tinyaku Ngoveni

摘要

Burglary remains a serious problem in South Africa. This study examined the influence of socio-demographic characteristics, individual behaviours and environmental security measures on victim-precipitated burglary risk in Florida Park, Johannesburg. A cross-sectional survey of 1,156 households (1,142 completed, 98.8% response rate) was conducted using systematic sampling. Chi-square and binomial logistic regression analyses were performed. Risky behaviours (leaving access points unlocked, sharing keys/codes and visible valuables) significantly increased the odds of victim-precipitated burglary, while alarm systems, CCTV and security dogs reduced the odds. Socio-demographic factors (employment, income and marital status) moderated some relationships. While findings support routine activity theory, situational crime prevention and lifestyle-exposure theory, they highlight the need for cautious application of victim-precipitation concepts to avoid victim-blaming. The study underscores the value of multifaceted, context-sensitive prevention strategies.