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<p>Steel producers in the Global South face increasing pressure from trade and required emissions cuts. Renewable-rich regions could become key suppliers of low-carbon steel, but this vision remains conceptual and risks perpetuating extractivist patterns. Using the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD), we assess technological, spatial and employment implications of South Africa’s steel transition. We find that an early push for hydrogen-based capacities is beneficial – but needs to be embedded in a broader just transition framework.</p>

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Strategising steel sector capacities and employment in the Global South: the case of South Africa

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2026年3月25日

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  • Jonathan Hanto,
  • Darius Sultani,
  • Bryce McCall,
  • Pao-Yu Oei

摘要

Steel producers in the Global South face increasing pressure from trade and required emissions cuts. Renewable-rich regions could become key suppliers of low-carbon steel, but this vision remains conceptual and risks perpetuating extractivist patterns. Using the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD), we assess technological, spatial and employment implications of South Africa’s steel transition. We find that an early push for hydrogen-based capacities is beneficial – but needs to be embedded in a broader just transition framework.