Anthropogenic transition in flood regimes: insights from a millennium of the Yangtze River records
摘要
Global floods are intensifying, yet climate change alone cannot resolve the persistent precipitation-flood paradox. Our millennial-scale analysis of the Yangtze River reveals that human activities, primarily deforestation and polder expansion, now outweigh climatic drivers in shaping flood regimes. This profound transition from natural to human-driven dominance necessitates a paradigm shift in risk prediction, prioritizing land-use dynamics to accurately capture extreme events that defy conventional hydrological expectations.