Scholarlink

<p>Growing demand for animal-sourced foods is intensifying global reliance on soybeans, with China, the largest consumer and a low self-sufficiency rate (SSR) country, driving global largest imports and associated environmental spillover. To improve its SSR, China has implemented policies including rehabilitating salt-affected land, approving genetically modified soybeans and promoting healthy dietary transition. Here we evaluated these interventions using a scenario-based framework benchmarked against a no-policy baseline reconstructed soybean demand. China’s SSR declined from full self-sufficiency in 1961 to 17% by 2022 and is projected to decline to 12% by 2050 without intervention. Each 10% implementation of salt-affected land and genetically modified soybeans alone could increase soybean SSR by 1.4% and 1.0%, whereas a 50% healthy dietary implementation alone could raise to 17%. Although individual policies yield modest improvements, their combined implementation could increase SSR to 74% by 2030 and 80% by 2050. This shift could free soybean sufficient to feed 1.89 billion additional people globally while avoiding cropland expansion in tropical frontiers, enabling reforestation and carbon sequestration.</p>

错误：搜索内容不能为空，请输入英文关键词
错误：关键词超出字数限制，请精简
高级检索

Integrated policies could raise China’s soybean self-sufficiency and ease global land-use pressure

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年7月10日

查看全文
  • Fei Lun,
  • Jing Sun,
  • Yi Zhou,
  • Qiyuan Hu,
  • Lai Gan,
  • Tianbao Zhang,
  • Sijia Wang,
  • Josep Peñuelas,
  • Jordi Sardans,
  • Miao Lu,
  • Peng Yang,
  • Danfeng Sun,
  • Jianguo Liu,
  • Wenbin Wu

摘要

Growing demand for animal-sourced foods is intensifying global reliance on soybeans, with China, the largest consumer and a low self-sufficiency rate (SSR) country, driving global largest imports and associated environmental spillover. To improve its SSR, China has implemented policies including rehabilitating salt-affected land, approving genetically modified soybeans and promoting healthy dietary transition. Here we evaluated these interventions using a scenario-based framework benchmarked against a no-policy baseline reconstructed soybean demand. China’s SSR declined from full self-sufficiency in 1961 to 17% by 2022 and is projected to decline to 12% by 2050 without intervention. Each 10% implementation of salt-affected land and genetically modified soybeans alone could increase soybean SSR by 1.4% and 1.0%, whereas a 50% healthy dietary implementation alone could raise to 17%. Although individual policies yield modest improvements, their combined implementation could increase SSR to 74% by 2030 and 80% by 2050. This shift could free soybean sufficient to feed 1.89 billion additional people globally while avoiding cropland expansion in tropical frontiers, enabling reforestation and carbon sequestration.