<p>Urban centers are critical nexuses where climate, environmental exposures, and socioeconomic disparities converge to shape infectious disease dynamics. Addressing the underexploration of these compound drivers, we conducted a comparative longitudinal analysis across three major Chinese cities, integrating multi-dimensional epidemiological, climatic, air quality, and socioeconomic data. Our framework incorporated Spearman’s correlation, mutual information networks, principal component analysis, and time-series visualization. Results demonstrated that the efficacy of non-pharmaceutical interventions against Omicron varied inversely with population density: highest in Chongqing, moderate in Shanghai, and lowest in Hong Kong. Furthermore, correlation matrices revealed distinct city-specific patterns; notably, hand, foot, and mouth disease in Shanghai correlated with passenger volume (<i>ρ</i> = 0.64) and international tourists (<i>ρ</i> = 0.45), whereas these associations were attenuated in Chongqing. Mutual information networks uncover non-monotonic synergies and hidden city-specific hubs (e.g., NO<sub>2</sub>, SO<sub>2</sub>) missed by correlation, alongside shared socioeconomic hubs like passenger volume and containment. Composite indices captured systemic co-exposures, with the crowd-gathering index correlating with scarlatina (<i>ρ</i> = 0.37) and dengue (<i>ρ</i> = 0.35). Collectively, these findings indicate that urban infection risks originate from complex, context-dependent systems. Consequently, we propose a planetary health-based urban governance framework with six pillars: intelligent foresight, nature-based design, collaborative governance, medical preparedness, data integration, and global solidarity, fostering enhanced urban resilience.</p>

错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

Multidimensional drivers of urban infectious diseases: a comparative longitudinal study informing planetary health governance

  • Yunhui Xiang,
  • Guokang Sun,
  • Pinpin Xiang,
  • Qin Zhang,
  • Dan Li,
  • Jiangtao Hu,
  • Lvbo Tian,
  • Junxian Wang,
  • Chunbao Xie

摘要

Urban centers are critical nexuses where climate, environmental exposures, and socioeconomic disparities converge to shape infectious disease dynamics. Addressing the underexploration of these compound drivers, we conducted a comparative longitudinal analysis across three major Chinese cities, integrating multi-dimensional epidemiological, climatic, air quality, and socioeconomic data. Our framework incorporated Spearman’s correlation, mutual information networks, principal component analysis, and time-series visualization. Results demonstrated that the efficacy of non-pharmaceutical interventions against Omicron varied inversely with population density: highest in Chongqing, moderate in Shanghai, and lowest in Hong Kong. Furthermore, correlation matrices revealed distinct city-specific patterns; notably, hand, foot, and mouth disease in Shanghai correlated with passenger volume (ρ = 0.64) and international tourists (ρ = 0.45), whereas these associations were attenuated in Chongqing. Mutual information networks uncover non-monotonic synergies and hidden city-specific hubs (e.g., NO2, SO2) missed by correlation, alongside shared socioeconomic hubs like passenger volume and containment. Composite indices captured systemic co-exposures, with the crowd-gathering index correlating with scarlatina (ρ = 0.37) and dengue (ρ = 0.35). Collectively, these findings indicate that urban infection risks originate from complex, context-dependent systems. Consequently, we propose a planetary health-based urban governance framework with six pillars: intelligent foresight, nature-based design, collaborative governance, medical preparedness, data integration, and global solidarity, fostering enhanced urban resilience.