<p>Early identification of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who may benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is crucial for optimizing outcomes. Here, we developed a multimodal fusion (MMF) system integrating CT-derived deep learning features and clinical data to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Using retrospective multicenter data (<i>n</i> = 859), the MMF combining an ensemble deep learning (Ensemble-DL) model with clinical variables achieved strong external validation performance (C-index: OS = 0.74, PFS = 0.69), outperforming radiomics (29.8% OS improvement), mRECIST (27.6% OS improvement), clinical benchmarks (C-index: OS = 0.67, <i>p</i> = 0.0011; PFS = 0.65, <i>p</i> = 0.033), and Ensemble-DL (C-index: OS = 0.69, <i>p</i> = 0.0028; PFS = 0.66, <i>p</i> = 0.044). The MMF system effectively stratified patients across clinical subgroups and demonstrated interpretability through activation maps and radiomic correlations. Differential gene expression analysis revealed enrichment of the PI3K/Akt pathway in patients identified by the MMF system. The MMF system provides an interpretable, clinically applicable approach to guide personalized ICI treatment in unresectable HCC.</p>

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A multimodal fusion system predicting survival benefits of immune checkpoint inhibitors in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

  • Jun Xu,
  • Tengfei Wang,
  • Junjun Li,
  • Yong Wang,
  • Zhangxiang Zhu,
  • Xiao Fu,
  • Junjie Wang,
  • Zhenglin Zhang,
  • Wei Cai,
  • Ruipeng Song,
  • Changlong Hou,
  • Li-Zhuang Yang,
  • Hongzhi Wang,
  • Stephen T. C. Wong,
  • Hai Li

摘要

Early identification of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who may benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is crucial for optimizing outcomes. Here, we developed a multimodal fusion (MMF) system integrating CT-derived deep learning features and clinical data to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Using retrospective multicenter data (n = 859), the MMF combining an ensemble deep learning (Ensemble-DL) model with clinical variables achieved strong external validation performance (C-index: OS = 0.74, PFS = 0.69), outperforming radiomics (29.8% OS improvement), mRECIST (27.6% OS improvement), clinical benchmarks (C-index: OS = 0.67, p = 0.0011; PFS = 0.65, p = 0.033), and Ensemble-DL (C-index: OS = 0.69, p = 0.0028; PFS = 0.66, p = 0.044). The MMF system effectively stratified patients across clinical subgroups and demonstrated interpretability through activation maps and radiomic correlations. Differential gene expression analysis revealed enrichment of the PI3K/Akt pathway in patients identified by the MMF system. The MMF system provides an interpretable, clinically applicable approach to guide personalized ICI treatment in unresectable HCC.