Development of a psychological risk indicator and its association with sports injuries in football players
摘要
Evidence suggests that psychological factors such as stress, anxiety, perfectionism, coping resources, and sleep quality may modulate sport-injury risk, supporting an integrative approach to athlete monitoring beyond physiological indicators. This study aimed to develop a composite psychological injury-risk index grounded in the Psycholight framework and examine its association with injury burden in male and female football players. A total of 281 youth-to-senior players aged 16–32 years completed validated self-report measures assessing sport-related psychological characteristics, maladaptive perfectionism, trait anxiety, emotional symptoms, and sleep quality, including the CPRD, MPSI, STAI-Trait, DASS-21, and PSQI. Baseline assessments were completed at the start of the season, while emotional symptoms and sleep quality were monitored monthly. Time-loss injuries were recorded throughout the season by the club’s medical staff using standardized procedures. Analyses included descriptive statistics, between-group comparisons, and Poisson generalized linear mixed models. Overall, higher composite risk-index scores were associated with higher injury rates across follow-up periods. In male players, high-risk scores in stress control were associated with higher injury incidence than low- and moderate-risk scores. In female players, higher depressive symptom scores and higher global risk-index scores were associated with higher injury incidence; additionally, moderate-risk scores in evaluation influence were linked to increased injury incidence. These findings support the potential utility of a composite psychological risk index for identifying players with heightened psychological vulnerability and highlight the potential value of incorporating systematic psychological screening into injury-prevention programmes in high-performance football.