<p>Achieving net-zero targets reduces greenhouse gas emissions and their co-pollutants, thereby improving air quality; however, the magnitude and distribution of these improvements depend on the amount and location of residual emissions offset by carbon dioxide removal (CDR). Here we integrate a series of models and datasets to analyse community-scale particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) impacts of different net-zero scenarios across the contiguous USA. These scenarios avoid many PM<sub>2.5</sub>-related deaths compared with a reference case, decreasing from around 200,000 to 160,000 and 130,000 deaths in 2050 in the high- and low-CDR scenarios, respectively. However, the low-CDR pathway leads to lower residual emissions and brings greater health improvements that disproportionately benefit non-white and low-income groups. Our results thus suggest that, in the absence of deliberate transition planning, large-scale CDR deployment could be at odds with the equitable distribution of climate mitigation-related health benefits in the USA.</p>

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Residual emissions may perpetuate community-scale inequalities in US air pollution

  • Candelaria Bergero,
  • Jing Cheng,
  • Qiang Zhang,
  • Yang Ou,
  • Haewon McJeon,
  • Morgan R. Edwards,
  • Destenie Nock,
  • Inês Azevedo,
  • Steven J. Davis

摘要

Achieving net-zero targets reduces greenhouse gas emissions and their co-pollutants, thereby improving air quality; however, the magnitude and distribution of these improvements depend on the amount and location of residual emissions offset by carbon dioxide removal (CDR). Here we integrate a series of models and datasets to analyse community-scale particulate matter (PM2.5) impacts of different net-zero scenarios across the contiguous USA. These scenarios avoid many PM2.5-related deaths compared with a reference case, decreasing from around 200,000 to 160,000 and 130,000 deaths in 2050 in the high- and low-CDR scenarios, respectively. However, the low-CDR pathway leads to lower residual emissions and brings greater health improvements that disproportionately benefit non-white and low-income groups. Our results thus suggest that, in the absence of deliberate transition planning, large-scale CDR deployment could be at odds with the equitable distribution of climate mitigation-related health benefits in the USA.