<p>Vaccination for UK men who have sex with men (MSM) at increased gonorrhea risk has been advised, but not yet implemented. Effective targeting is essential for cost-effectiveness, but previously-examined approaches have disadvantages: Vaccination-on-Diagnosis has low coverage (limiting impact), and Vaccination-according-to-Risk requires asking about sexual behavior to identify at-risk individuals, which is not always feasible. We developed a transmission-dynamic model to evaluate novel strategies offering vaccination based on information readily available to clinicians (diagnostic/vaccination history, if the patient is seeking care due to partner notification). Offering vaccination to MSM who are notified partners of gonorrhea cases or were diagnosed themselves in the past 2 years averts 1.6x more cases and is more cost-effective than Vaccination-on-Diagnosis. If vaccination provides 20% protection for 1.5 years after primary vaccination and 3 years after revaccination then at £18/dose administered, all considered strategies have ≥50 and ≥90% probabilities of positive net monetary benefit compared with no vaccination with a quality-adjusted life year valued at £20,000 and £30,000 respectively, thus meeting the UK criteria for cost-effectiveness. All novel strategies considered achieve greater impact than Vaccination-on-Diagnosis without the feasibility issues of Vaccination-according-to-Risk.</p>

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Modeling gonorrhea vaccination to find optimal targeting strategies that balance impact with cost-effectiveness

  • Trystan Leng,
  • Lilith K. Whittles,
  • Dariya Nikitin,
  • Peter J. White

摘要

Vaccination for UK men who have sex with men (MSM) at increased gonorrhea risk has been advised, but not yet implemented. Effective targeting is essential for cost-effectiveness, but previously-examined approaches have disadvantages: Vaccination-on-Diagnosis has low coverage (limiting impact), and Vaccination-according-to-Risk requires asking about sexual behavior to identify at-risk individuals, which is not always feasible. We developed a transmission-dynamic model to evaluate novel strategies offering vaccination based on information readily available to clinicians (diagnostic/vaccination history, if the patient is seeking care due to partner notification). Offering vaccination to MSM who are notified partners of gonorrhea cases or were diagnosed themselves in the past 2 years averts 1.6x more cases and is more cost-effective than Vaccination-on-Diagnosis. If vaccination provides 20% protection for 1.5 years after primary vaccination and 3 years after revaccination then at £18/dose administered, all considered strategies have ≥50 and ≥90% probabilities of positive net monetary benefit compared with no vaccination with a quality-adjusted life year valued at £20,000 and £30,000 respectively, thus meeting the UK criteria for cost-effectiveness. All novel strategies considered achieve greater impact than Vaccination-on-Diagnosis without the feasibility issues of Vaccination-according-to-Risk.