<p>The rapid retirement of electric vehicle (EV) batteries presents both a challenge of resource management and an opportunity for carbon mitigation. An Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven framework is introduced that couples high-accuracy capacity forecasting with a dynamic life cycle carbon model (LCCO<sub>2</sub>), enabling intelligent end-of-life decision-making and large-scale repurposing. Analysis of real-world field data from commercial EVs shows that data-driven retirement strategies extend battery service life beyond conventional fixed thresholds, increase usable energy output, and improve classification accuracy of safety margins. Integration into the LCCO<sub>2</sub> model indicates reductions of 14.3% in average life cycle carbon intensity, alongside substantial per-battery CO<sub>2</sub> savings, without compromising operational safety. At scale, projections suggest that second-life deployment of retired EV batteries could deliver tens of tens of millions of metric tons of CO<sub>2</sub> mitigated annually in China and the European Union by mid-century, thereby contributing directly to both regions’ carbon neutrality pathways. These findings highlight a scalable strategy that unites predictive modelling with carbon accounting, advancing the circular economy of EV batteries.</p> Graphical Abstract <p></p>

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AI-driven echelon utilization of retired electric vehicle batteries and their life cycle carbon mitigation potential

  • Qichen Wang,
  • Tian Zhang,
  • Yilin Guo,
  • Liangchao Huang,
  • Tianle Shi,
  • Nan Cai,
  • Ye Yue,
  • Yachen Xie,
  • Christian Truitt Lüddeke,
  • Ruoxi Luo

摘要

The rapid retirement of electric vehicle (EV) batteries presents both a challenge of resource management and an opportunity for carbon mitigation. An Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven framework is introduced that couples high-accuracy capacity forecasting with a dynamic life cycle carbon model (LCCO2), enabling intelligent end-of-life decision-making and large-scale repurposing. Analysis of real-world field data from commercial EVs shows that data-driven retirement strategies extend battery service life beyond conventional fixed thresholds, increase usable energy output, and improve classification accuracy of safety margins. Integration into the LCCO2 model indicates reductions of 14.3% in average life cycle carbon intensity, alongside substantial per-battery CO2 savings, without compromising operational safety. At scale, projections suggest that second-life deployment of retired EV batteries could deliver tens of tens of millions of metric tons of CO2 mitigated annually in China and the European Union by mid-century, thereby contributing directly to both regions’ carbon neutrality pathways. These findings highlight a scalable strategy that unites predictive modelling with carbon accounting, advancing the circular economy of EV batteries.

Graphical Abstract