Groundwater quality variability and well resilience under seasonal flooding conditions in the Akaki well field, Central Ethiopia
摘要
Groundwater is Ethiopia’s principal source of domestic, industrial, and agricultural water, yet its quality is increasingly stressed in flood-prone, rapidly urbanising basins. This study assessed seasonal and flood-period variations in surface water and groundwater quality and well resilience in the Akaki well field using an integrated hydroclimatic–hydrochemical framework. Long-term rainfall records (1994–2024) were analysed with seasonal and event-based (pre-, peak-, and post-flood) hydrochemical data from surface water and production wells to compare dry-, wet-, and flood-period conditions. Rainfall during the main wet season (June–August) averaged 230–280 mm with high interannual variability (CV > 35%), coinciding with recurrent flooding in low-lying areas. Surface water showed marked seasonal contrasts: dry-season low dilution raised EC (850–1900 µS/cm), TDS (550–1200 mg/L), major cations, and chromium (1.8–4.1 mg/L), whereas wet-season flooding lowered EC (600–1050 µS/cm) and TDS (400–700 mg/L) but increased turbidity (16–34 NTU), nitrate, and Escherichia coli (~ 975 CFU/100 mL). Wells with damaged seals exhibited turbidity up to 45 NTU, nitrate up to 180 mg/L (NO₃⁻), and Cr, Pb, and Cd levels beyond WHO drinking-water guidelines. In contrast, seal-intact wells maintained consistent Ca–HCO₃⁻ facies, fluoride levels of 0.6–3.9 mg/L, and only mild seasonal variation. Multivariate analysis attributed 60.2% of groundwater variability to anthropogenic and microbiological influences and 20.5% to geogenic processes. An AHP-based resilience index (0.282–0.577), derived from three dimensions and five indicators, indicates low to moderate adaptive capacity, highlights the need for better wellhead protection and maintenance under recurrent floods.