Alpha Power Transformed Beta Regression with Application on Antenatal Care Visit Proportions Among Ethiopian Women
摘要
This study introduces a novel regression model based on the Alpha Power Transformed Beta (APTBeta) distribution to analyze maternal antenatal care (ANC) utilization among 2913 eligible women from the Mini Ethiopian Demographic Health Survey 2019 dataset. Implemented within the Generalized Additive Model for Location, Scale, and Shape (GAMLSS) and Bayesian frameworks, the APTBeta model enhances traditional beta distributions by incorporating a shape controlling parameter, improving flexibility in modeling skewed, bounded outcomes like ANC utilization rates. The APTBeta model demonstrated superior performance with an AIC of − 5427.932 and BIC of − 5051.38, outperforming alternatives such as Top-Lione and Beta distributions. Simulation studies confirmed that Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) improved parameter recovery, with estimates for parameter a approaches to true parameter 0.4 from 0.99 (MSE = 2.63) at n = 75 to 0.38 (MSE = 0.015) at n = 1500. Bayesian estimation with n = 2500 yielded posterior estimates