Investigating dynamic premium in Indian green stocks amid evolving Fama and French factors in tandem with dynamic liquidity considerations
摘要
This study attempts to determine whether Indian green stocks offer superior returns relative to the market expectations and to examine variations in Fama–French factors, liquidity factors, Jensen’s alpha, and the Sharpe ratio of green stocks. It also assesses the effects of these performance indicators on key events, notably the COVID-19 pandemic.
MethodologyThe study adopts the Capital Asset Pricing Model adjusted for Fama–French factors and market liquidity. The paper employs the Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation—Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ADCC-GARCH) to identify the dynamic covariates used.
FindingsA structural break occurred on 21 September 2020, near the end of the first COVID-19 wave. Systematic risk exposures and liquidity interactions changed across regimes, while Jensen’s alpha remained insignificant, indicating no abnormal risk-adjusted performance. Market betas increased significantly after COVID-19, suggesting stronger market integration. Green stock illiquidity became more closely linked to market illiquidity, supporting liquidity-pricing effects and flight-to-liquidity behaviour during crisis-like events.
Originality valueThis study contributes to the literature and practice by examining whether Indian green stocks earn premiums above market expectations and how major crises affect these premiums. It investigates the time-varying roles of Fama–French and liquidity factors in explaining green stock returns. While low investor awareness may constrain liquidity under normal conditions, crises can intensify liquidity pressures and increase the co-movement between green stock illiquidity and market illiquidity. By distinguishing between stable and crisis-period dynamics, the study provides deeper insights into green stock performance in emerging markets.