<p>This study investigates the complex, two-way relationship between industrialization, agriculture, and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions within the context of economic development, using the Czech Republic as an industrialized case study. To quantify the dynamic interdependencies within this emissions nexus, the paper employs a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model and Variance Decomposition; a powerful tool used to quantify the relative contribution of shocks from each economic indicator. Agriculture is a critical driver of environmental impact and economic stability. Shocks to agriculture cause a persistent increase in GHG emissions (16.05% of variance), suggesting targeted practices are vital. Conversely, the agricultural sector significantly boosts GDP (22.52% of variance). Industrial activity (manufacturing and energy) contributes to emissions, with energy consumption heavily influenced by GHG shocks (69.41%). Policies aimed at reducing emissions may cause a temporary negative impact on GDP. The findings are intended to provide essential empirical feedback for the Czech Republic to craft targeted, adaptive, and integrated policies that specifically address which economic sector’s shocks are most potent to the national emissions profile. This study contributes to the body of knowledge by demonstrating that agricultural activity remains a structurally persistent and significant driver of GHG even in advanced, industrialized economies, thereby challenging linear interpretations of structural transformation. It further advances theory by integrating sectoral interdependence into environmental analysis, showing that the dynamics of agriculture, industry, and energy must be jointly considered to fully understand emissions pathways. The ultimate goal is to enable the successful decoupling of economic advancement from environmental degradation, thereby forging a holistic path toward sustainability which is key for the European and Czech targets of reducing emissions by 55% by 2030.</p>

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Dynamic interactions between industrialization agriculture and greenhouse gas emissions in the Czech Republic

  • Joseph Phiri,
  • Klára Bartoňová,
  • Mansoor Maitah,
  • Zdeňka Gebeltová,
  • Karel Malec,
  • Chika Rita Sampa Okpara

摘要

This study investigates the complex, two-way relationship between industrialization, agriculture, and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions within the context of economic development, using the Czech Republic as an industrialized case study. To quantify the dynamic interdependencies within this emissions nexus, the paper employs a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model and Variance Decomposition; a powerful tool used to quantify the relative contribution of shocks from each economic indicator. Agriculture is a critical driver of environmental impact and economic stability. Shocks to agriculture cause a persistent increase in GHG emissions (16.05% of variance), suggesting targeted practices are vital. Conversely, the agricultural sector significantly boosts GDP (22.52% of variance). Industrial activity (manufacturing and energy) contributes to emissions, with energy consumption heavily influenced by GHG shocks (69.41%). Policies aimed at reducing emissions may cause a temporary negative impact on GDP. The findings are intended to provide essential empirical feedback for the Czech Republic to craft targeted, adaptive, and integrated policies that specifically address which economic sector’s shocks are most potent to the national emissions profile. This study contributes to the body of knowledge by demonstrating that agricultural activity remains a structurally persistent and significant driver of GHG even in advanced, industrialized economies, thereby challenging linear interpretations of structural transformation. It further advances theory by integrating sectoral interdependence into environmental analysis, showing that the dynamics of agriculture, industry, and energy must be jointly considered to fully understand emissions pathways. The ultimate goal is to enable the successful decoupling of economic advancement from environmental degradation, thereby forging a holistic path toward sustainability which is key for the European and Czech targets of reducing emissions by 55% by 2030.