Dynamic effects of food security, economic growth and energy use on environmental sustainability in D-8 countries
摘要
Balancing the urgent need for food security and economic development with the long-term ecological health presents a critical challenge for emerging economies. For the D-8 countries understanding the dynamic interactions among these priorities is essential for crafting effective sustainable development policies. Hence, the current research utilized the load capacity factor (LCF) as a novel indicator of environmental sustainability, taking into account both supply and demand dimensions. Using a panel-VAR approach, the research examined the dynamic links between environmental sustainability, economic growth, food security, greenhouse gas emissions, and renewable energy use, in D-8 countries from 1990 to 2021. The results show that while increases in food and crop production initially support environmental sustainability, their long-term effects are negative due to intensive resource use. Renewable energy consistently enhances environmental sustainability, whereas greenhouse gas emissions have a significant detrimental impact. Economic growth improves sustainability in the short term but becomes harmful beyond a certain threshold. Overall, economic growth, crop production, and greenhouse gas emissions emerge as the most influential factors, emphasizing the need for balanced policies that align agricultural development, clean energy transition, and climate mitigation to achieve lasting environmental sustainability.