Scholarlink

<p>This study assesses the effect of General Augusto Pinochet’s regime on non-state-sponsored (NSS) homicide rates in Chile from 1960 to 2020. Using interrupted time series (ITS) and synthetic control models (SCM), I test whether the 1973 military coup represented a structural break in Chile’s long-term decline in homicide. Drawing on Durkheim’s theory of social regulation, Foucault’s concept of disciplinary power, and perspectives on authoritarian repression, the analysis examines how state control may suppress interpersonal violence amid widespread political terror. The results show a sharp, statistically significant decline in NSS homicide immediately after the coup, confirmed by structural break tests and robust sensitivity analyses. These findings suggest that authoritarian repression produced an artificially low level of civilian homicide, displacing rather than eliminating violence. The study concludes by discussing the theoretical and methodological implications of applying ITS and SCM to historical criminology and regime-change contexts.</p>

错误：搜索内容不能为空，请输入英文关键词
错误：关键词超出字数限制，请精简
高级检索

The Illusion of Order: Authoritarian Repression and Non-State-Sponsored Homicide in Chile, 1960–2020

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年11月8日

查看全文
  • Meghan L. Rogers

摘要

This study assesses the effect of General Augusto Pinochet’s regime on non-state-sponsored (NSS) homicide rates in Chile from 1960 to 2020. Using interrupted time series (ITS) and synthetic control models (SCM), I test whether the 1973 military coup represented a structural break in Chile’s long-term decline in homicide. Drawing on Durkheim’s theory of social regulation, Foucault’s concept of disciplinary power, and perspectives on authoritarian repression, the analysis examines how state control may suppress interpersonal violence amid widespread political terror. The results show a sharp, statistically significant decline in NSS homicide immediately after the coup, confirmed by structural break tests and robust sensitivity analyses. These findings suggest that authoritarian repression produced an artificially low level of civilian homicide, displacing rather than eliminating violence. The study concludes by discussing the theoretical and methodological implications of applying ITS and SCM to historical criminology and regime-change contexts.