A multivariate probit analysis of market outlet decision-making of smallholder tomato producers
摘要
The aim of this study is to examine the market participation patterns of smallholder tomato farmers in Ananthapuramu District of India and identify the key factors influencing their choice of marketing channels. The analysis focuses on four channels: local wholesalers, processors, retail outlets, and restaurants. Primary data were collected from 200 farmers during the 2024 farming season. To address overlapping factors and simplify interpretation, a multivariate probit approach combined with principal component analysis (PCA) was employed to identify the main drivers of farmers’ marketing decisions. Results reveal that economic considerations—particularly price incentives, financial viability, and immediate cash flow—are the dominant motivations across all channels. Participation in Farmer Producer Organizations (FPOs) enhances access to structured markets by facilitating collective sales, quality compliance, and reduced transaction costs. While farm size and production surplus exert limited influence on channel choice, institutional support, infrastructure, and logistics emerge as critical determinants of market access. The study highlights that standardized procurement practices lessen the role of individual skills, and interdependencies between market choices underscore the need for coordinated interventions. Policy measures aimed at strengthening farmer organizations, improving rural infrastructure, and expanding financial support could significantly enhance the competitiveness and resilience of smallholder tomato farmers in emerging markets.