The dynamic interaction between financial opening-up and RMB internationalization based on two time-varying parameter models
摘要
This paper examines the dynamic interaction between financial opening-up and RMB internationalization. A monthly Financial Openness Condition Index (FOCI) for China is constructed using the DMS-TVP-FAVAR model for the period from January 2015 to June 2025. Then, we apply the TVP-SV-FAVAR model to examine the dynamic interactions between the FOCI and RMB internationalization, focusing on the intricate relationship between their time-varying impulse responses and term structures. Empirical results reveals that financial opening-up initially exerts a negative impact on RMB internationalization, whereas RMB internationalization generates intensified positive feedback on financial opening-up as the financial market deepens. The coordinated advancement of financial opening-up and RMB internationalization requires establishing a systematic framework through the maintenance of a dynamic equilibrium between risk containment and growth momentum stimulation.