Modelling integrated resilience using system dynamics: the interconnectedness of socioeconomic and health during pandemic in Indonesia
摘要
A model of interconnected socioeconomic and health status based on quantitative evidence and qualitative information was built during the pandemic in Indonesia. The integrated resilience framework was established, which is becoming the basis of analyzing the system's ability to withstand COVID-19 and drawing lessons learned after COVID-19. The system dynamics method was used by integrating quantitative evidence with qualitative information. The system dynamics simulation revealed that first, adaptive health management, which balanced public health concerns with socioeconomic considerations, and second, socioeconomic resilience were characterized by i. a wide range of social initiatives that arose to increase resilience to the social impact of COVID-19, and ii. economic resilience, which demonstrated the diversity of business creativity that emerged to survive the COVID economic impact. The model of integrated resilience as an interconnected system of people's socioeconomics and government-led adaptive health management was able to withstand COVID-19. The lessons learned from the system's ability to withstand COVID-19 are i. the emergence of adaptive health management through experiential learning and ii. people’s innovativeness increased because of digital technology adoption.