Scholarlink

<p>The process of legislative redistricting in New Hampshire, along with many other states across the country, was particularly contentious during the 2020 census cycle. In this paper we present an ensemble analysis of the enacted districts to provide mathematical context for claims made about these maps in litigation. Operationalizing the New Hampshire redistricting rules and algorithmically generating a large collection of districting plans allows us to construct a baseline for expected behavior of districting plans in the state and evaluate non-partisan justifications and geographic tradeoffs between districting criteria and partisan outcomes. We conclude that the ensemble analysis supports the claims in <i>Brown v. Scanlan</i> that New Hampshire’s enacted State Senate and Executive Council districts give an advantage to Republican candidates. In addition, our results demonstrate the impact of selection and aggregation of election data for analyzing partisan symmetry measures.</p>

错误：搜索内容不能为空，请输入英文关键词
错误：关键词超出字数限制，请精简
高级检索

Free elections in the free state: ensemble analysis of redistricting in New Hampshire

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年3月9日

查看全文
  • Atticus McWhorter,
  • Daryl DeFord

摘要

The process of legislative redistricting in New Hampshire, along with many other states across the country, was particularly contentious during the 2020 census cycle. In this paper we present an ensemble analysis of the enacted districts to provide mathematical context for claims made about these maps in litigation. Operationalizing the New Hampshire redistricting rules and algorithmically generating a large collection of districting plans allows us to construct a baseline for expected behavior of districting plans in the state and evaluate non-partisan justifications and geographic tradeoffs between districting criteria and partisan outcomes. We conclude that the ensemble analysis supports the claims in Brown v. Scanlan that New Hampshire’s enacted State Senate and Executive Council districts give an advantage to Republican candidates. In addition, our results demonstrate the impact of selection and aggregation of election data for analyzing partisan symmetry measures.