<p>The volatility of cryptocurrency markets has sparked significant interest in developing predictive models capable of accurately forecasting price movements. Addressing the complexities posed by the non-linear and dynamic nature of cryptocurrency price data, this study introduces a hybrid model that combines one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (1D-CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks to forecast Ethereum’s closing prices. The 1D-CNN component captures localized patterns within the time-series data, while the LSTM component effectively models long-term dependencies and sequential trends. A sliding window technique is applied to preprocess Ethereum trading data, enabling the model to manage temporal structures and enhance predictive accuracy. Experiments were performed to assess the hybrid model’s performance under various configurations, benchmarking it against standalone 1D-CNN and LSTM models. Experimental results demonstrated that the hybrid model significantly outperforms these baseline models, promising its potential for improving forecasting accuracy in cryptocurrency markets.</p>

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Hybrid model of 1D-CNN and LSTM for forecasting Ethereum closing prices: a case study of temporal analysis

  • Tran Thai Hoa,
  • Thanh Manh Le,
  • Cuong H. Nguyen-Dinh

摘要

The volatility of cryptocurrency markets has sparked significant interest in developing predictive models capable of accurately forecasting price movements. Addressing the complexities posed by the non-linear and dynamic nature of cryptocurrency price data, this study introduces a hybrid model that combines one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (1D-CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks to forecast Ethereum’s closing prices. The 1D-CNN component captures localized patterns within the time-series data, while the LSTM component effectively models long-term dependencies and sequential trends. A sliding window technique is applied to preprocess Ethereum trading data, enabling the model to manage temporal structures and enhance predictive accuracy. Experiments were performed to assess the hybrid model’s performance under various configurations, benchmarking it against standalone 1D-CNN and LSTM models. Experimental results demonstrated that the hybrid model significantly outperforms these baseline models, promising its potential for improving forecasting accuracy in cryptocurrency markets.