Spatiotemporal Trends in the Characteristics of Different Drought Categories in a Changing Climate Over Central-Africa
摘要
This paper studies spatiotemporal evolution of meteorological drought at seasonal and annual scales in Central-Africa over the past seven decades. Datasets from observation stations and from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) and the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) were used. They were aggregated at 3- and 12-month time scales (TSs) and four distribution functions were tested at each grid point to select the best-fit for the computation of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) used as drought indicator. The four drought categories (mild, moderate, severe and extreme) were studied and t-test at 95% confidence level was applied on the trends. As results, GPCC data over the period 1950–2019 were found to be the most appropriate for the study. Pattern of the annual precipitation cycle changes with the area. SPIs computed from GPCC data are consistent with the observations and generally show significant tendencies to dry conditions in the whole domain on an annual scale, above