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<p>The Kashmir Valley, renowned for its horticultural potential, has increasingly shifted towards apple cultivation due to favourable climatic conditions and economic benefits. In North Kashmir, land scarcity, geophysical instability, soil degradation, and socioeconomic vulnerabilities hinder agricultural output. By employing the scenario-based modelling integrated with Geographic Information System (GIS), a comprehensive suitability map for apple cultivation was developed, considering physical, climatic, and socioeconomic factors. The analysis categorized land into five suitability classes (S1–S5), identifying 12% of the area as highly suitable (S1) and 64.3% as unsuitable (S4 and S5) due to rugged terrain, rocky outcrops, and water bodies. Soil texture, physiography, and elevation were key determinants of suitability, with Karewa’s emerging as the most favourable zones. While socioeconomic enhancements could improve marginal areas, environmental constraints like slope and elevation impose rigid limitations. In order to maximise apple production while preserving ecological and financial stability, the study emphasises the necessity of sustainable management and targeted planning of high-suitability sites. In environmentally sensitive areas, this methodology offers a reproducible framework for combining sustainable agriculture methods with land-use planning.</p>

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Land suitability analysis for apple cultivation in mountainous Kashmir valley using scenario based modelling

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年3月13日

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  • Abida Fayaz,
  • Mifta ul Shafiq,
  • Mubashir Jamil,
  • Harmeet Singh,
  • Pervez Ahmed

摘要

The Kashmir Valley, renowned for its horticultural potential, has increasingly shifted towards apple cultivation due to favourable climatic conditions and economic benefits. In North Kashmir, land scarcity, geophysical instability, soil degradation, and socioeconomic vulnerabilities hinder agricultural output. By employing the scenario-based modelling integrated with Geographic Information System (GIS), a comprehensive suitability map for apple cultivation was developed, considering physical, climatic, and socioeconomic factors. The analysis categorized land into five suitability classes (S1–S5), identifying 12% of the area as highly suitable (S1) and 64.3% as unsuitable (S4 and S5) due to rugged terrain, rocky outcrops, and water bodies. Soil texture, physiography, and elevation were key determinants of suitability, with Karewa’s emerging as the most favourable zones. While socioeconomic enhancements could improve marginal areas, environmental constraints like slope and elevation impose rigid limitations. In order to maximise apple production while preserving ecological and financial stability, the study emphasises the necessity of sustainable management and targeted planning of high-suitability sites. In environmentally sensitive areas, this methodology offers a reproducible framework for combining sustainable agriculture methods with land-use planning.