Assessment of Coastal Cliff Stability in Relation to Urbanization Dynamics and Beach Erosion along Ain El Turck: A GIS-Based Multi-temporal Methodology
摘要
The stability of the Ain El Turck cliffs along the Oran coastline in Algeria has become a major concern threatening human life, infrastructure, facilities, and anthropogenic activities. This situation complicates management and development strategies in sectors of high socio-economic importance, as the associated risks are directly linked to ongoing pressures on these inherently fragile coastal environments. Several factors contribute to this vulnerability, including marine erosion (wave action, storms), subaerial weathering (wetting/drying cycles, rainfall infiltration), geological controls (lithology, structure), and human pressures. Among these, notably the unregulated and progressive expansion of urbanization and cliff retreat. Urban pressure on cliff stability is further exacerbated by hydrological forcing, cliff-top loading, and anthropogenic modification of drainage conditions. This study proposes a Cliff Instability Risk Index (CIRI), which uses a GIS-based multi-temporal methodology to quantify the risk and to assess the convergent dynamics between basal cliff erosion and urbanization along a hazard-prone transect, where the level of risk is proportional to the intensity of these dynamics. Using very high-resolution satellite imagery and GIS (Geographic Information System) tools, the approach quantifies the spatiotemporal evolution of urbanization density, beach widths, and beach erosion in (NCR