Where to Throw the Hook? Chinese Strategic Partnership Selection and Its Effectiveness in Achieving Influence
摘要
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of an original dataset of over 100 Chinese strategic partnerships. It investigates whether these partnerships serve as tools for China to extend its global influence. The research hypothesizes that China selectively forms partnerships with countries that are more susceptible to influence, particularly those with lower levels of foreign external intervention and political stability, and higher need for arms sales. The findings support the proposed hypotheses. Following this, the paper examines the effectiveness of Chinese partnerships in achieving influence. Utilizing panel data analysis with a random effects model, the study finds a statistically significant correlation between strategic partnerships and increased Chinese military and cultural influence, regardless of partnership level. However, the extent of influence varies by partnership type: regular partnerships (P) primarily enhance cultural influence, strategic partnerships (SP) contribute to both cultural and military influence, and comprehensive strategic partnerships (CSP) lead to increased economic, military, and cultural influence.