<p>This article investigates the international community’s response to Russia’s military actions in Ukraine, focusing on voting behaviour at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) during the 11th Special Emergency Session (ES-11) between 2022 and 2023. The study examines the geopolitical and institutional factors shaping how member states positioned themselves in relation to six UNGA resolutions condemning Russia. Drawing on geopolitical considerations and the literature on UN voting patterns, the analysis identifies key explanatory variables: membership in the G77, G7, NATO, and the European Union; receipt of U.S. foreign aid; bilateral trade with Russia; status as a military supplier; regime type; and governing ideology. The findings, based on logistic regression models, suggest that Global South countries, states reliant on Russia for military supplies, and non-liberal democratic regimes were less likely to support the resolutions. In contrast, liberal democracies aligned with the Western security architecture were more likely to vote in favour. The article argues that voting patterns at the UNGA reflect the structural tensions of a shifting world order and illustrate how the war in Ukraine has accentuated the divide between the Global North and South. It concludes that building international compromise in a multipolar world requires recognising the strategic autonomy and plural interests of sovereign states, especially as China and Russia offer alternative frameworks to U.S.-led liberal internationalism. These insights are particularly relevant in light of recent policy shifts under the second Trump administration, which may further reshape multilateral dynamics and global alignments.</p>

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The United Nations General Assembly in a Multipolar World Order: An Analysis of Roll Call Votes on UNGA Resolutions Addressing Russia's Military Actions in Ukraine

  • Augusto Neftali Corte de Oliveira,
  • Luana Margarete Geiger,
  • Edmund Terem Ugar

摘要

This article investigates the international community’s response to Russia’s military actions in Ukraine, focusing on voting behaviour at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) during the 11th Special Emergency Session (ES-11) between 2022 and 2023. The study examines the geopolitical and institutional factors shaping how member states positioned themselves in relation to six UNGA resolutions condemning Russia. Drawing on geopolitical considerations and the literature on UN voting patterns, the analysis identifies key explanatory variables: membership in the G77, G7, NATO, and the European Union; receipt of U.S. foreign aid; bilateral trade with Russia; status as a military supplier; regime type; and governing ideology. The findings, based on logistic regression models, suggest that Global South countries, states reliant on Russia for military supplies, and non-liberal democratic regimes were less likely to support the resolutions. In contrast, liberal democracies aligned with the Western security architecture were more likely to vote in favour. The article argues that voting patterns at the UNGA reflect the structural tensions of a shifting world order and illustrate how the war in Ukraine has accentuated the divide between the Global North and South. It concludes that building international compromise in a multipolar world requires recognising the strategic autonomy and plural interests of sovereign states, especially as China and Russia offer alternative frameworks to U.S.-led liberal internationalism. These insights are particularly relevant in light of recent policy shifts under the second Trump administration, which may further reshape multilateral dynamics and global alignments.