Gridded Population Mapping of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Based on Random Forest Model Optimisation
摘要
Population distribution is crucial for demographic geography studies. Gridded population mapping standardizes spatial population distribution into a grid, facilitating comprehensive analysis across diverse data sources. In this study, we developed a process-oriented optimisation method for population disaggregation that significantly enhances the reliability and validity of gridded population mapping by unifying spatial scales and enhancing data processing. This method produced a gridded population dataset for the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau at a 1 km resolution for 2020, referred to as TibetPop. TibetPop aligns quantitatively with county-level census data, ensuring high stability in modelling results. Internal validation demonstrates that TibetPop’s aggregated values closely match township-level census data, reflecting notable improvements over unoptimised gridded population estimates. External validation further confirms that TibetPop surpasses other global large-scale gridded population datasets in overall accuracy. The process-oriented optimisation methods used in creating TibetPop provide a valuable framework for population disaggregation in other regions, especially those with distinct physical and geographical characteristics.