Multi-Stage Decision Framework for EV Aggregators in Day-Ahead Markets using Low-Granularity Power Profiles Scenarios
摘要
Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) services are a promising source of flexibility in decarbonized power systems, requiring the coordination of numerous geographically dispersed electric vehicles (EVs) to balance grid operator and user charging demands. This poses complex decision-making challenges for the Electric Vehicle Aggregator (EVA) due to significant and varied uncertainties. These challenges result in large-scale, high-cardinality problems that make direct, high-granularity resource allocation computationally infeasible and difficult to analyze. To address this, the paper proposes a reduced-order, multi-stage framework to support the EVA in providing V2G services in the day-ahead market and scheduling individual EVs throughout the day. The framework introduces several innovations. It integrates a deterministic EV scheduling model into a scenario generation tool to estimate V2G capacity across different scenarios over time. A reduced-order stochastic optimization approach is then used to tackle the day-ahead market bidding problem, significantly lowering computational complexity. Additionally, during the intra-day phase, the EVA employs a novel strategy to manage imbalances between contracted and actual charging/discharging profiles, leveraging these imbalances to boost profitability while considering traditional penalty schemes. Numerical simulations using real market data validate the framework’s effectiveness by analyzing intra-day scenarios across various timeframes.