<p>This study examines whether digitally sophisticated users, who actively engage with multiple financial channels, such as mobile money, bank accounts, and online payments, exhibit greater economic resilience in the face of income shocks, a phenomenon conceptualized as Financial Darwinism. Using nationally representative Global Findex 2025 Microdata for Tanzania, and applying a survey-weighted ordered logit model, the analysis reveals a counterintuitive finding: Higher levels of digital sophistication are associated with lower financial resilience, as more digitally engaged households report shorter survival durations after income loss. Robustness checks using ordered probit and binary logistic models confirm the consistency of this negative relationship. These results suggest that while digital inclusion expands access to financial tools, it may also expose households to over-leverage, liquidity illusions, or behavioral overconfidence, weakening their long-term stability. The study contributes to emerging debates on the adaptive costs of digital transformation in finance, highlighting that technological inclusion without corresponding financial literacy and behavioral safeguards can lead to new forms of economic vulnerability. Policy implications call for integrating digital literacy, risk management education, and consumer protection frameworks into digital finance strategies to ensure that inclusion translates into true financial resilience rather than fragility.</p>

错误:搜索内容不能为空,请输入英文关键词
错误:关键词超出字数限制,请精简
高级检索

Financial Darwinism in Tanzania: do digitally sophisticated users survive income shocks better?

  • Enock Mwakalila

摘要

This study examines whether digitally sophisticated users, who actively engage with multiple financial channels, such as mobile money, bank accounts, and online payments, exhibit greater economic resilience in the face of income shocks, a phenomenon conceptualized as Financial Darwinism. Using nationally representative Global Findex 2025 Microdata for Tanzania, and applying a survey-weighted ordered logit model, the analysis reveals a counterintuitive finding: Higher levels of digital sophistication are associated with lower financial resilience, as more digitally engaged households report shorter survival durations after income loss. Robustness checks using ordered probit and binary logistic models confirm the consistency of this negative relationship. These results suggest that while digital inclusion expands access to financial tools, it may also expose households to over-leverage, liquidity illusions, or behavioral overconfidence, weakening their long-term stability. The study contributes to emerging debates on the adaptive costs of digital transformation in finance, highlighting that technological inclusion without corresponding financial literacy and behavioral safeguards can lead to new forms of economic vulnerability. Policy implications call for integrating digital literacy, risk management education, and consumer protection frameworks into digital finance strategies to ensure that inclusion translates into true financial resilience rather than fragility.