Predicting morphodynamics in dam-break flows using combined machine learning and numerical modelling
摘要
Numerical models and machine learning methods are implemented and compared to simulate and predict erosional dam-break flows and bed morphodynamics. The nonlinear shallow water equations, including sediment transport and bedload terms, are solved using a well-balanced finite volume method. Empirical erosion formulas are applied, and the obtained data train and test machine learning models. A comparative study using both computational hydraulics and various machine learning models is presented to simulate and predict erosion flows and bed deformations. The methodology is tested for a dam-break problem over an erodible bed, and results are validated against experimental measurements. The performance of various models, including Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), M5 Trees, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), and Support Vector Machines (SVM), are evaluated in predicting changes in bed and free-surface profiles. In the present study, quantitative evaluations using the coefficient of determination