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<p>The Küçükçekmece–Avcılar corridor of the D100 highway constitutes a critical component of Istanbul’s transportation infrastructure. Given its strategic importance, ensuring its operational continuity following the anticipated major Istanbul earthquake is imperative. The aim of this study was to investigate the liquefaction-induced geotechnical risks threatening the Küçükçekmece–Avcılar segment of the D100 highway. Initially, the study area’s liquefaction susceptibility was assessed through Liquefaction Potential Index mapping. Subsequently, post-liquefaction ground displacements were quantified using semi-empirical methodologies and advanced numerical analyses focused on representative critical sections. Numerical simulations incorporated various constitutive models for liquefiable soils, enabling a comparative assessment against semi-empirical estimations. The results revealed that semi-empirical approaches systematically overestimated the lateral displacements relative to numerical predictions. Moreover, the analyses highlighted the sensitivity of model outcomes to the selection of constitutive parameters, underscoring the necessity for careful calibration in modeling liquefiable layers. Despite considering the most conservative displacement values from numerical analyses, findings indicated that the D100 highway is likely to experience substantial damage, potentially leading to extended service disruptions following the projected seismic event.</p>

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Estimation of Liquefaction Induced Hazards in Küçükçekmece-Avcılar D100 Highway

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年6月10日

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  • Ahmet Kaan YILDIRIM,
  • Ilknur BOZBEY,
  • Sadik OZTOPRAK

摘要

The Küçükçekmece–Avcılar corridor of the D100 highway constitutes a critical component of Istanbul’s transportation infrastructure. Given its strategic importance, ensuring its operational continuity following the anticipated major Istanbul earthquake is imperative. The aim of this study was to investigate the liquefaction-induced geotechnical risks threatening the Küçükçekmece–Avcılar segment of the D100 highway. Initially, the study area’s liquefaction susceptibility was assessed through Liquefaction Potential Index mapping. Subsequently, post-liquefaction ground displacements were quantified using semi-empirical methodologies and advanced numerical analyses focused on representative critical sections. Numerical simulations incorporated various constitutive models for liquefiable soils, enabling a comparative assessment against semi-empirical estimations. The results revealed that semi-empirical approaches systematically overestimated the lateral displacements relative to numerical predictions. Moreover, the analyses highlighted the sensitivity of model outcomes to the selection of constitutive parameters, underscoring the necessity for careful calibration in modeling liquefiable layers. Despite considering the most conservative displacement values from numerical analyses, findings indicated that the D100 highway is likely to experience substantial damage, potentially leading to extended service disruptions following the projected seismic event.