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<p>The Turpan-Hami (Tuha) Basin of China, a critical region on the Silk Road Economic Belt and a major national energy base, occupies a significant position in energy security and in the major industrial clusters in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China. Understanding spatial and temporal evolution of human activities in this area is essential for harmonizing ecological protection with energy development, safeguarding the ecological security of the Silk Road Economic Belt, and promoting the sustainable development of the area. However, despite rapid socioeconomic advances, the trajectories of human activity intensity and the principal driving mechanisms over the past three decades remain inadequately understood. To address these gaps, this study constructed a land use dataset for the Tuha Basin from 1990 to 2020, utilizing Google Earth Engine (GEE) and random forest classification algorithm. We assessed the intensity of human activities and their spatial autocorrelation patterns and further identified key drivers influencing spatial and temporal variations using the Geodetector model. Our findings indicated that the intensity of human activities in the Tuha Basin has exhibited a “first decline and then recovery” trend over the past 30 a, accompanied by significant spatial clustering. In recent years, the aggregation of hot spots has diminished, while clustering of cold spots has intensified, suggesting a dispersion of human activity centers. Nevertheless, urban areas in the Hami and Turpan cities, along with their surrounding areas, continued to serve as core areas of human activities. Topographic features (slope gradient and aspect) and their interactions with economic variables emerged as dominant determinants shaping the spatial patterns and temporal dynamics of human activity intensity. This result provides critical insights into fostering sustainable regional development and ecological conservation in the Tuha Basin and offers valuable methodological and empirical references for studies on land use dynamics and human activity intensity in similar arid areas.</p>

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Spatial and temporal pattern of human activity intensity and its driving mechanism in the Turpan-Hami Basin, China from 1990 to 2020

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年11月20日

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  • Qingqing Shi,
  • Benfeng Yin,
  • Jixia Huang,
  • Yuanyuan Yin,
  • Ao Yang,
  • Yuanming Zhang

摘要

The Turpan-Hami (Tuha) Basin of China, a critical region on the Silk Road Economic Belt and a major national energy base, occupies a significant position in energy security and in the major industrial clusters in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China. Understanding spatial and temporal evolution of human activities in this area is essential for harmonizing ecological protection with energy development, safeguarding the ecological security of the Silk Road Economic Belt, and promoting the sustainable development of the area. However, despite rapid socioeconomic advances, the trajectories of human activity intensity and the principal driving mechanisms over the past three decades remain inadequately understood. To address these gaps, this study constructed a land use dataset for the Tuha Basin from 1990 to 2020, utilizing Google Earth Engine (GEE) and random forest classification algorithm. We assessed the intensity of human activities and their spatial autocorrelation patterns and further identified key drivers influencing spatial and temporal variations using the Geodetector model. Our findings indicated that the intensity of human activities in the Tuha Basin has exhibited a “first decline and then recovery” trend over the past 30 a, accompanied by significant spatial clustering. In recent years, the aggregation of hot spots has diminished, while clustering of cold spots has intensified, suggesting a dispersion of human activity centers. Nevertheless, urban areas in the Hami and Turpan cities, along with their surrounding areas, continued to serve as core areas of human activities. Topographic features (slope gradient and aspect) and their interactions with economic variables emerged as dominant determinants shaping the spatial patterns and temporal dynamics of human activity intensity. This result provides critical insights into fostering sustainable regional development and ecological conservation in the Tuha Basin and offers valuable methodological and empirical references for studies on land use dynamics and human activity intensity in similar arid areas.