Background and Objective <p>The rising global burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus, compounded by the expanding therapeutic landscape, has placed increasing pressure on health systems to generate robust evidence on the long-term value for money of newer antidiabetic drugs (NADs). This systematic review addresses the urgent need for an updated synthesis of evidence on long-term health economic evaluations of NADs for the treatment of type 2 diabetes, including studies on the latest agents such as tirzepatide and finerenone. It aims to synthesise global long-term cost-effectiveness analyses, assess reporting completeness using the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) 2022 framework and outline key implications for clinicians, payers and policymakers seeking to optimise type 2 diabetes management within resource-constrained health systems.</p> Methods <p>PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, EBSCOhost, Scopus and Web of Science were systematically searched for studies published between 1 January, 2008 and 20 February, 2025. Eligible studies were long-term incremental cost-effectiveness analyses conducted in adults with type 2 diabetes, comparing NADs with other NAD classes or with standard treatment, and reporting outcomes such as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. A formal risk of bias assessment using tools designed for clinical trials was not undertaken. Instead, reporting quality and transparency were assessed using the CHEERS 2022 checklist, with modelling-related sources of uncertainty and potential bias examined qualitatively. Given the methodological heterogeneity, results were synthesised narratively. Full-text English articles were included. This review was not prospectively registered.</p> Results <p>The search identified 1481 records, of which 142 studies met the inclusion criteria. Overall, 81% of incremental cost-effectiveness ratio-based analyses reported that NADs were cost effective compared with conventional therapies under country-specific willingness-to-pay thresholds. Using Thailand as an example of a developing country, studies generally found NADs not to be cost effective, largely because willingness-to-pay thresholds (USD 4336–5310 per quality-adjusted life-year) are substantially lower than those in higher income settings. Recently introduced agents (e.g. tirzepatide and finerenone) and early-line use were typically cost effective only at higher willingness-to-pay thresholds (USD 100,000–150,000 per quality-adjusted life-year) or following substantial price reductions (≥&#xa0;70% for sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and ≥90% for oral glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists). Most evaluations employed established diabetes models and adopted lifetime horizons from a payer perspective, while reporting quality assessments revealed limited disclosure of stakeholder involvement.</p> Conclusions <p>These findings should be interpreted cautiously given the substantial heterogeneity across studies and methodological limitations inherent to long-term economic modelling. Overall, NADs generally provide favourable long-term cost effectiveness, owing to their cardiovascular and renal benefits; however, recently introduced agents and early-line use tend to be cost effective only at higher willingness-to-pay thresholds or after significant price reductions. Future evaluations should integrate real-world evidence and advanced modelling to capture long-term impacts and incorporate context-specific affordability considerations to support equitable and sustainable adoption of newer antidiabetic therapies.</p>

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Global Long-Term Cost Effectiveness of Newer Antidiabetic Drugs for Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Systematic Review

  • Dan Li,
  • Alesha Smith,
  • Carlo A. Marra

摘要

Background and Objective

The rising global burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus, compounded by the expanding therapeutic landscape, has placed increasing pressure on health systems to generate robust evidence on the long-term value for money of newer antidiabetic drugs (NADs). This systematic review addresses the urgent need for an updated synthesis of evidence on long-term health economic evaluations of NADs for the treatment of type 2 diabetes, including studies on the latest agents such as tirzepatide and finerenone. It aims to synthesise global long-term cost-effectiveness analyses, assess reporting completeness using the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) 2022 framework and outline key implications for clinicians, payers and policymakers seeking to optimise type 2 diabetes management within resource-constrained health systems.

Methods

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, EBSCOhost, Scopus and Web of Science were systematically searched for studies published between 1 January, 2008 and 20 February, 2025. Eligible studies were long-term incremental cost-effectiveness analyses conducted in adults with type 2 diabetes, comparing NADs with other NAD classes or with standard treatment, and reporting outcomes such as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. A formal risk of bias assessment using tools designed for clinical trials was not undertaken. Instead, reporting quality and transparency were assessed using the CHEERS 2022 checklist, with modelling-related sources of uncertainty and potential bias examined qualitatively. Given the methodological heterogeneity, results were synthesised narratively. Full-text English articles were included. This review was not prospectively registered.

Results

The search identified 1481 records, of which 142 studies met the inclusion criteria. Overall, 81% of incremental cost-effectiveness ratio-based analyses reported that NADs were cost effective compared with conventional therapies under country-specific willingness-to-pay thresholds. Using Thailand as an example of a developing country, studies generally found NADs not to be cost effective, largely because willingness-to-pay thresholds (USD 4336–5310 per quality-adjusted life-year) are substantially lower than those in higher income settings. Recently introduced agents (e.g. tirzepatide and finerenone) and early-line use were typically cost effective only at higher willingness-to-pay thresholds (USD 100,000–150,000 per quality-adjusted life-year) or following substantial price reductions (≥ 70% for sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and ≥90% for oral glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists). Most evaluations employed established diabetes models and adopted lifetime horizons from a payer perspective, while reporting quality assessments revealed limited disclosure of stakeholder involvement.

Conclusions

These findings should be interpreted cautiously given the substantial heterogeneity across studies and methodological limitations inherent to long-term economic modelling. Overall, NADs generally provide favourable long-term cost effectiveness, owing to their cardiovascular and renal benefits; however, recently introduced agents and early-line use tend to be cost effective only at higher willingness-to-pay thresholds or after significant price reductions. Future evaluations should integrate real-world evidence and advanced modelling to capture long-term impacts and incorporate context-specific affordability considerations to support equitable and sustainable adoption of newer antidiabetic therapies.