Site-Specific Genomic Markers Associated with Outcomes of PD-1 Blockade in Gastric and Esophagogastric Junction Cancer: Analysis of Japan’s C-CAT Registry
摘要
Only a minority of patients with advanced gastric cancer (GC) or esophagogastric junction (EGJ) adenocarcinoma derive durable benefit from anti-programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) therapy. However, reliable biomarkers for real-world clinical decision-making remain limited.
ObjectiveTo identify tumor site-specific genomic alterations associated with outcomes of nivolumab monotherapy in a nationwide real-world cohort.
MethodsWe conducted a retrospective nationwide analysis using Japan’s Center for Cancer Genomics and Advanced Therapeutics (C-CAT) registry, including patients with GC and EGJ cancer adenocarcinoma treated with nivolumab monotherapy (July 2019–April 2024). Primary endpoints were time to treatment failure (TTF) and overall survival (OS), defined as the interval from nivolumab initiation to death from any cause; objective response rate (ORR) was secondary. Gene-level alteration indicators were derived from vendor-reported tumor-only panel calls across multiple platforms and filtered for clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP)-like variants (variant allele frequency < 0.05). Multivariable models adjusted for age and sex were fitted separately for GC and EGJ cancer. Variant pathogenicity was based on available panel annotations; therefore, gene-level results should be interpreted as exploratory findings.
ResultsAmong 798 patients with GC and 114 patients with EGJ cancer adenocarcinoma, median TTF/OS/ORR were 3.98 months/20.2 months/11.7% in GC and 4.80 months/24.7 months/14.9% in EGJ cancer adenocarcinoma. In GC, ASXL1 mutation remained independently associated with longer TTF (hazard ratio [HR] 0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.37–0.94) after adjustment and CHIP filtering. For OS, microsatellite instability-high [MSI-H] (HR 0.16, 95% CI 0.04–0.70) and FANCG (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.16–0.87) were associated with longer OS, whereas CDH1 (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.10–2.05) was associated with shorter OS. In EGJ cancer adenocarcinoma, NTRK1 mutation correlated with longer TTF (HR 0.31, 95% CI 0.10–0.98) and MUTYH with shorter OS (HR 5.68, 95% CI 2.04–15.81), both exploratory.
ConclusionsIn this large Japanese real-world cohort, genomic associations with nivolumab outcomes differed by tumor site. In gastric cancer, ASXL1 mutation was associated with prolonged treatment benefit under PD-1 blockade, while CDH1 and FANCG showed exploratory associations with OS. These findings warrant further validation in prospective and platform-controlled analyses.